I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Ousmane Dembele is now 1/7 favourite to win the 2025 Ballon d’Or.
- Lamine Yamal (9/2) is the only real challenger, though silverware could prove decisive.
- PSG’s Champions League win and Super Cup triumph have all but secured Dembele’s place as frontrunner.
Ousmane Dembele Odds-On Favourite for 2025 Ballon d’Or After PSG Super Cup Triumph
Paris Saint-Germain’s Ousmane Dembele has further cemented his status as the overwhelming favourite to win the 2025 Ballon d’Or, with bookmakers now pricing him at 1/7 following PSG’s UEFA Super Cup victory over Tottenham.
Dembele converted in the penalty shootout to help PSG lift the trophy, adding yet another highlight to a year that has already seen him inspire his club to Champions League success.
His odds have tumbled further making him the clear frontrunner to secure football’s most prestigious individual award.
Those current odds from bet365 give him an implied probability of 87.5% of winning the award.
Ballon d’Or 2025 Winner Odds
| Ballon d'Or 2025 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dembele | 1/7 | 87.5% |
| Lamine Yamal | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Vitinha | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Mohamed Salah | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Raphinha | 33/1 | 2.9% |
Dembele’s Historic Rise
Dembele’s move to PSG has transformed his career.
After years battling injuries at Barcelona, the Frenchman has flourished in Paris.
His dazzling wing play, consistent output, and crucial performances in Europe have put him at the top of world football.
His Champions League triumph, combined with PSG’s domestic dominance, makes him the obvious favourite.
At 1/7, bookmakers suggest the award is effectively his to lose.
Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners
Yamal the Closest Challenger
At just 18, Lamine Yamal continues to make headlines at Barcelona and for Spain.
He’s priced at 9/2, but while his breakthrough has been sensational, his lack of big silverware compared to Dembele looks to be the decisive factor.
PSG’s midfield general Vitinha has been outstanding for club and country but Dembele’s impact has overshadowed him, with the Portuguese player at 20/1.
What the expert says...
Where to Bet on the Ballon d’Or
Markets for the 2025 Ballon d’Or are available across the best football betting sites, with exclusive free bets available for new customers.
Bet365 are currently offering full outright markets on the award.
